Enrollment Forecast
Phase 385% Confidence
XGBoost regression · Retrained weekly · MAPE: 6.8%Enrollment Trend & Forecast
Projected Fall 2026
5,240+8% vs Fall 2025
Projected Annual Growth
12.3%year-over-year
Capacity Risk
Medium
Projected to reach 85% of 10K band limit by Dec 2026
Forecast by Category
Key Assumptions
- Based on 18 months of historical enrollment data
- Assumes current marketing spend and channel mix continues
- Excludes one-time events (e.g., COVID, major policy changes)
- Seasonal patterns derived from 2 full academic cycles